Tuesday, October 6, 2015

9 Things San Antonio Luxury Buyers Want in 2015


In my last blog, I wrote about how small the San Antonio luxury home market is. Only 4% of homes sell above $500,000 and less than one-half of one percent sell for a million or more.

But, if you are selling a luxury home, how can you put the odds in your favor? If you are a buyer how can you make a good decision for future resale value? There is a very small sample size to analyze but lessons can be learned. Even with so few sales, patterns emerge. So, how can you learn from "The List?"

"The List" is what I call luxury homes that are actively on the market. The few that are chosen by buyers each year made it off The List. An important part of my job is figuring out why. This analysis will focus on the data of homes that make it off The List.  I'll write about the more emotional factors later: Things that make a difference like a great view, big trees and updated finishes.

21260 Fortaleza
Sometimes an amazing view is the reason a house gets off "The List"

I'm going to write about $1 million and higher sales that went through the San Antonio Board of Realtors' MLS. Texas is a non-disclosure state. Unlike nearly every other state, there is no law that forces a seller or buyer to disclose a sales price in Texas. However, most sales, even above $1 million, go through MLS. That's the only way that the real estate industry, the county tax office and the public knows what the sales price is. Though I work a few non-MLS transactions each year, the large majority of sales in all price ranges go through MLS.

I chose not to include homes in places like Horseshoe Bay, Gruene, Canyon Lake, Burnet, Wimberly and Llano. These homes are generally waterfront properties purchased as vacation homes.

There are also sales that are reported in the single family residential MLS that are actually ranches so I excluded them. For example, a "home" sells over $1 million but it has 200 plus acres.

Going back 12 months, there have been 104 sales at or above $1 million.

Here is what luxury buyers want today:

1. Quality public schools

Though many of these buyers will consider private school, the local public schools are important at the very least for future resale.

Four districts dominate the million dollar sales:
Northside: 33
Alamo Heights: 26
Boerne: 21
North East: 14

The high schools with the most million dollar sales attached to them are Clark and Alamo Heights.

2. Neighborhoods with a track record

There aren't many million dollar neighborhoods in San Antonio, so the same areas tend to dominate year after year 
  • 30 sales were inside Loop 410 - Alamo Heights, Olmos Park, Terrell Hills and Monte Vista
  • 23 sales were north of 1604 in the Northside School District. Includes The Dominion and Anaqua Springs Ranch
  • 23 sales were outside 1604, further north in the Boerne School District including Cordillera Ranch
  • 16 sales are outside Loop 410 but inside Loop 1604 - Shavano Park including Bentley Manor and Huntington
  • 12 were in the area outside 1604 generally knows as Stone Oak including Champions Ridge, Champions Run, Waterford Heights and Sendero Ranch

3. At least 4 bedrooms

Only five sales over $1 million had three bedrooms. None had less than three. But, six or more may be overkill. Just 17 of the 104 Sales had six or more bedrooms.

4. An existing pool

79% of the homes that got off The List have a pool

22 Sanctuary, Inwood Estates
79% of homes sold over $1 million have a pool

5. At least three Garage Spaces EXCEPT inside 410

77% of sales had three or more garage spaces but of the homes that didn't, 87% were inside Loop 410. So, if you are selling your luxury home in the Alamo Heights area, it's not a fatal flaw to have two or fewer garage spaces. 

6. At least half an acre EXCEPT inside 410

77% of sales were on at least a half-acre lot. But, if you are selling or shopping inside 410, know that space is at a premium so lot sizes aren't nearly as large. 22 out of 30 sales inside 410 were on less than half an acre. 

7. Master Bedroom Downstairs

Only 13% of sales had the master bedroom upstairs. Almost all of these were inside 410. 

8. Big Square Footage

64% had more than 5,000 sq. ft. Only 9% had less than 4,000 sq. ft

9. Newer is popular but inside 410 doesn't conform

55% of all sales are less than 10 years old. 57% of sales inside 410 are at least 20 years old.

228 Cloverleaf, Alamo Heights
New construction is popular especially in neighborhoods where it's rare

Jason Glast, Realtor/Attorney, is one of the top selling residential real estate agents in San Antonio. Specializing in the luxury home market, Jason has been named the number one real estate agent and the number one luxury home specialist by the San Antonio Business Journal. Contact him at (210) 386-1833Jason@JasonGlast.com or visit his website at JasonGlast.com

He is an associate of San Antonio Portfolio Real Estate - KW, a boutique brokerage specializing in the high end San Antonio area neighborhoods including Alamo Heights, Terrell Hills, Olmos Park, Monte Vista, The Dominion, Boerne, Cordillera Ranch, Hill Country Village, Anaqua Springs Ranch, Shavano Park, Bentley Manor, Huntington, Inwood, Elm Creek and Stone Oak.








Thursday, September 24, 2015

The Truth About San Antonio Home Sales (Will Set You Free)

527 Berwick Town, Bentley Manor
Sales above $500,000 in San Antonio are a different animal
Today's narrative is that the single family residential real estate market is scalding hot. In San Antonio, the consensus is that less inventory has led to skyrocketing prices. Tales of multiple offers and crazy bidding wars abound. However, when you dig deeper into the numbers, the story becomes more nuanced.

When people ask me how the market is, they nearly always mean "How is the luxury home market in San Antonio?" If someone knows me already, they know that's my career. I list, market and sell luxury homes in and around San Antonio.

Back to the person asking about the market...To drill down even deeper, they usually mean "How is the market for high-end resale homes in Bexar, Kendall and Comal county?" Because they are interested in how much they could get for their home. Guaranteed they have seen in the media, heard from a friend or through another Realtor that it's a big-time seller's market.

I am a naturally optimistic person. I believe there is at least one solution for every problem. However, I'm not a sunshine pumper. I believe in "The Truth Shall Set You Free." Because, when you know the truth, it's much easier to craft a strategy or devise the perfect solution.

So, what's the truth at the end of the 3rd quarter of 2015? I'm not a fan of Nancy Meyers' movies but "It's Complicated."

I heard Dr. Mark Dotzour, former Chief Economist at the Texas A&M Real Estate Center, speak earlier this year and he left me with a quote I won't forget, "If you torture data long enough, it will confess to anything."

That statement resonates strongly with me because of my legal background. When an attorney presents a case, she strives to present the best facts to prove her case while mitigating or burying the negative points for her client. There is opposing counsel working to achieve the same.

But, what if there was no lawyer arguing the other side? What if only one version of the facts was presented? That's exactly what happens with residential real estate data.

The statistics come directly from the San Antonio Board of Realtor's (SABOR) Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data.

SABOR looks at the data and presents it the most positive light to its members and the media. That's part of its purpose so I don't begrudge them that. I'm a member of SABOR myself. But, the local media and national writers (they usually get numbers through the National Association of Realtors) don't have a clue except to recite back the numbers they receive, without in-depth analysis.

8 Arnold Palmer, The Dominion
Sales of homes over $1 million are only one-half of one percent of the market
So, let's examine two ends of the spectrum: Today's market in a relatively strong economy vs. seven years ago at the peak of a recession.

Through September 21, 2015. Strong Economy:
32% of sales are above $250,000
4% of sales are above $500,000
.4% of sales are above $1,000,000

From Jan. 1 - September 21, 2008. Recession Economy:
19% of sales are above $250,000
3% of sales are above $500,000
.5% of sales are above$1,000,000

So, the biggest growth BY FAR in the San Antonio housing market since the recession and today's relative boom time is in the $250,000 - 500,000 category.

And, don't miss the decimal in front of the San Antonio million dollar plus sales. Less than one-half of one percent of all home sales are above $1,000,000.

Sales over $500,000 have essentially remained the same - percentage-wise - for homes in San Antonio. There are more sales throughout all price ranges in 2015 because it's much easier to get loans today than 2008 and the economy is better. That's good news.

But, for owners of homes above $500,000, it's important to understand the small number of buyers that can afford your house. Because then you can solve the problem. Why do those buyers choose the homes they choose? That's a topic I'll write about in upcoming blogs. The Truth will set you free.


101 Powderhorn Trail, Hill Country Village
Amenities like this lighted tennis/sport court can make a difference

Jason Glast, Realtor/Attorney, is one of the top selling residential real estate agents in San Antonio. Specializing in the luxury home market, Jason has been named the number one real estate agent and the number one luxury home specialist by the San Antonio Business Journal. Contact him at (210) 386-1833, Jason@JasonGlast.com or visit his website at JasonGlast.com

He is an associate of San Antonio Portfolio Real Estate - KW, a boutique brokerage specializing in the high end San Antonio area neighborhoods including Alamo Heights, Terrell Hills, Olmos Park, Monte Vista, The Dominion, Boerne, Cordillera Ranch, Hill Country Village, Anaqua Springs Ranch, Shavano Park, Bentley Manor, Huntington, Inwood, Elm Creek and Stone Oak.